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Market

Market Trends

Weak economic growth in 2011 and expectations for 2012, which have become increasingly negative during the course of the year, have led to a 3.8% reduction in advertising spending compared with 2010 (source: Nielsen Media Research). This negative trend has affected all traditional media, from television, which has contracted by 6.1%, except in the case of digital and satellite TV channels, to radio and print, which have dropped by 7.8% and 6.3% respectively. Advertising sales for new media have on the other hand been positive, with a substantial rise in the case of the Internet (+12.3%) and terrestrial digital channels, which have just about doubled their turnover. In the case of print, advertising sales for newspapers have contracted by 7.7%, with -5.8% in the case of paid newspapers and a dramatic fall in the case of the free press. The drop in sales for periodicals, -3.7%, has been more limited partly as a result of the good performance of the fashion sector. As for circulation, ADS data (12-month moving average to November 2011, on a like-for-like basis) show a fall in newsstand sales of 4.7% for dailies, 3.6% for weeklies, and 6% for monthlies.

 

The Newspaper Market

The total circulation of newspapers dropped by 4.4% in November 2011 (source: ADS) and newsstand sales fell by 4.7%. Advertising revenues for paid newspapers dropped 5.8%, with trends that are substantially similar for the national and local press.

 

The Market for Local Newspapers

The local-newspaper sector posted a drop in circulation of 5.5% in November over the previous year (source: ADS), indicating a trend that is worse than that of the newspaper sector as a whole (-4.4%)

Advertising sales were down 5.6% (source: FCP), which is essentially similar to that of paid newspapers as a whole (-5.8%).

 

The Periodicals Market

ADS data (12-month moving average to November 2011) show that circulation in the magazines market was down 5.4% on a like-for-like basis, which mainly affected monthlies (-6.2%) and, to a lesser degree, weeklies (-4.6%).

Advertising sales were down 3.7%, showing a less negative trend than that of the print sector as a whole (-6.3%).

 

The Market for Radio

After the improvement posted in 2010 (+7.7%), in 2011 advertising sales for radio suffered a significant decline (-7.8%), reflecting a general weakness in investment and a greater availability of television space.

 

Italian newspaper circulation and market share 2010

Source: ADS Total Circulation
*2010 vs 2009
Total Circulation -13.1%
Paid Circulation -4.3%

Total advertising expenditure/Gdp

Source: GroupM 2008 Worldwide media and marketing forecasts

Italian advertising market and L'Espresso Group's share 2010

Sources: AC Nielsen / FCP 2010 (for Newspaper and Magazines)

Breakdown of the italian advertising market

(in millions of euro)20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
Newspapers2.005,91.861,41.690,51.629,11.665,91.705,51.716,41.782,81.676,21.411,21.382,8
Free Press (1)3,731,938,049,554,463,970,3120,1140,2102,977,0
Magazines1.201,31.254,21.153,31.165,31.171,51.222,51.296,01.328,51.231,5877,6829,9
Total print3.210,93.147,52.881,82.843,92.891,82.991,93.082,73.231,43.047,92.391,72.289,6
Public TV1.389,51.229,11.242,81.203,21.343,81.346,31.368,51.371,01.321,31.098,01.128,8
Commercial TV2.705,02.703,02.687,02.920,43.207,43.322,53.230,33.215,73.274,83.002,73.158,0
Sat TV66,8255,2258,3332,6
Total TV4.094,53.932,13.929,74.123,64.551,24.668,84.598,84.653,54.851,44.358,94.619,3
Radio361,5319,2284,0328,8400,2408,6440,7476,8472,9436,3470,0
Outdoor199,7205,6181,4187,2192,1198,7197,0233,7227,2135,1136,9
Internet (2)     137,1197,6281,9556,5302,2363,0
TOTAL ADVERTISING *7.866,67.604,37.276,87.483,58.035,48.405,18.516,88.877,39.155,97.624,37.878,8
*Excluding Cinema, Cards, Direct mail, Out of home Tv and Transit  (744,6 €mns 2010)

Source: AC Nielsen 2010; FCP 2010

(1) Free press data are based on FCP survey, and therefore they are net of agency fees. All other data are based on AC Nielsen survey, and therefore they are gross of agency fees.

(2) In 2008 Internet includes Google estimates